Overnight, a barrel of crude hit $86.79 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, according to MarketWatch. The news site says, "Among the bigger news items impacting oil, Turkey's government asked parliament late Monday to approve a cross-border offensive against Kurdish rebels in Iraq."
But it now appears that almost any excuse will move oil up.
And this is not the end of it. OPEC is only lifting production by 2% in November, while Chinese demand for imported oil rose 18% in the first eight months of this year. Turmoil in areas where oil is produced is growing. Nigeria and Venezuela are not considered stable. It will not take much of another "little war" in the Middle East to move crude higher. The only good news is that hurricane season is winding down and production interruptions in the Gulf of Mexico are less likely.
With a tip of the hat to Al Gore, the rotund champion of the environment, former Vice President, and current Nobel winner, big economies are still their own worst enemies in the arena of energy consumption. There is no reason to believe that supply can keep up long-term, and OPEC sees no reason to help out. Higher oil prices are an excellent money-making proposition.
Oil is moving higher. There are too few forces to move it down. And, with winter setting in around the Northern Hemisphere, a bit of oil is going to be needed to keep us warm.
Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
10-16-2007 @ 12:43PM
Eric Monse said...
Black gold... Don't know whether to invest or run screaming!
10-16-2007 @ 1:39PM
norvell said...
Any one remember the Sliver future problem a few years back, could some one or some country be doing the same thing.
10-16-2007 @ 2:12PM
beanspants said...
i have invested - $55 to $78+ in one year with dividends is great. And if it falls, that's ok too, because that means I pay less at the pump. Don't run from black gold, get on the train.
10-16-2007 @ 2:21PM
michael schneider said...
Just posted comments on the rising oil prices from traders and Alan Greenspan are available at (white label, near top) http://www.Barrelomoney.com. Apparently the White House today has expressed some concern about the swift price rise in oil and the Nymex just raised margin requirements on oil contracts. Tomorrow we will get oil inventories which I suspect might again be bullish-- just a guess based on very limited indications (I don't know yet what traders are expecting). Turkey will likely vote to authorize invading Iraq. I saw on one of the message boards that T Boone Pickens will be on CNBC tomorrow morning so tomorrow will be a big day for oil. Oil is moving up going into all this. It has momentum and seasonal factors going for it-- it's almost enough to cause some irrational exuberance. Commodities seem to have a knack for doing the unexpected though-- you can never be completely sure short term.